基于改进PSO算法的结构损伤检测

结构的损伤检测常转化为求解约束优化问题,针对粒子群算法容易出现早熟问题,增大算法后期的粒子位置的改变量,从而增加粒子位置的差异,因而能够增强其在求解约束优化问题时抵抗局部极小的能力。两层刚架单损伤和多损伤识别的数值结果和收敛曲线表明了改进后的粒子群算法优于传统的带惯性因子的粒子群算法。三层框架结构的4种损伤工况的试验研究进一步说明了该算法应用于结构损伤检测领域的有效性。     

增加黄金储备规避外汇风险

近几年，我国外汇储备逐年增加，而美元汇率偏弱，使我国承担很大的外汇风险。为了规避外汇风险，应增加黄金储备。文中提出了我国增加黄金储备总量的理由以及增加黄金储备的途径。这些建议具有可操作性，可以提供给有关部门参考。     

防患于未然:水坝潜在溃决模式探究与分析

本文简介三种常见水坝的一些具有代表性的潜在溃决模式和导致这些模式发生的根本原因（即所谓的风险因素和可能的理由），俗云：“不经一事，不长一智”，冀望从过去的溃坝案例中吸取宝贵的教训，以正视每一个可能影响水坝安全的问题。本文略述近期发展的蓄水坝潜在溃决模式分析方法的步骤，借着制度面的革新，透过团队合作方式，以确认、判断可能存在的潜在溃决模式及其发生的相对可能性，采取必要的补救措施。     

Fetal Neurobehavioral Development: A Tale of Two Cities.

Longitudinal neurobehavioral development was examined in 237 fetuses of low-risk pregnancies from 2 distinct populations-Baltimore, Maryland, and Lima. Peru-at 20. 24. 28. 32, 36. and 38 weeks gestation. Data were based on digitized Doppler-based fetal heart rate (FHR) and fetal movement (FM). In both groups. FHR declined while variability, episodic accelerations, and FM-FHR coupling increased, with discontinuities evident between 28 and 32 weeks gestation. Fetuses in Lima had higher FHR and lower variability, accelerations, and FM-FHR coupling. Declines in trajectories were typically observed 1 month sooner in Lima, which magnified these disparities. Motor activity differences were less consistent. No sex differences in fetal neurobehaviors were detected. It is concluded that population factors can influence the developmental niche of the fetus. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved)     

高坝风险分析的事件树法

新世纪一批高坝将要在我国开工建设,这对我国的水电能源及国民经济的发展有着不可估量的作用,而高坝建设中,安全性是需要首先保证的。目前对高坝的风险分析方法有主观概率法、客观概率法等。从系统工程的角度出发,采用事件树方法对高坝的风险进行了探索研究,并给出了算例以说明该方法的有效性和实用性。     

Technical risk involved in long-term operation of steam turbines

The scope of the paper is the assessment of the technical risk involved in long-term operation of power units. Detailed analyses have been conducted for steam turbine components. The sources and consequences of risk have been identified and the probability of turbine components failure calculated. The quantitative assessment of the risk has been made and possibilities of its reduction discussed.     

Distinctive Features of Minimization of a Risk Functional in Mass Data Sets

A statistical learning model is considered within the framework of the theory of uniform convergence of frequencies of errors in the case where the convergence is violated as a result of increasing the informativeness of training examples. Drawbacks of nonconstructive refinements of Vapnik-Chervonenkis estimates based on an assumption on the distribution law of violations are shown. A new approach to obtaining constructive estimates for mass data sets is proposed.     

Critical incidents and chronic stressors at work: Their impact on forensic doctors.

Workers in medium- or high-risk professions are often confronted with critical incidents at the workplace. The impact of these acute stressors may be serious and enduring. Many workers also experience chronic job stressors, such as work overload or role conflicts. This study examined the frequently neglected relationship of acute and chronic stressors with self-reported health symptoms, such as posttraumatic responses, fatigue, and burnout. This association was investigated in a sample of forensic doctors in the Netherlands (N = 84). It was found that the more traumatic events the respondents experienced, the more problems they reported in coping with the traumatic events. Chronic job stressors were associated with posttraumatic responses (intrusions and avoidances) and with burnout and fatigue. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved)     

Risk evaluations for the courts: Is service quality a function of specialization?

Psychologists are often asked to testify in court. However, concerns have been expressed in both the legal and psychological literatures about the quality of these services. This article presents survey results comparing the practice patterns of generally licensed psychologists with those of specialist forensic diplomates in providing risk evaluations. Results suggest that general clinicians frequently perform these evaluations, but forensic diplomates use more modern risk instruments, are more aware of the scientific literature, and provide the court with more information about the scientific basis of their testimony. The implication of these results for legal professionals, psychologist training, and practice are discussed. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved)     

ERP的实施与风险防范

在管理应用的广度方面，ERP超越了MRP的应用范围。文中指出了实施ERP系统的步骤及ERP实施中应注意的问题，强调企业有必要对风险有充分认识，建立一套行之有效的风险管理机制，从而提高了ERP系统的实施成功率，最终提高企业的管理水平。